Sunday

Kansas City-LA Angels under 9 -103(1.97) 1 unit

The public likes the over because of the high scoring game yesterday. KC is an "overish" team but LA has only scored more than 3 runs once in the last 10 games(yesterday). The LA defense is good so this is a really sold under.

some good trends

Under is 7-2 in LAA last 9 overall.

Under is 7-2 in LAA last 9 on grass.

Under is 33-13-6 in LAA last 52 home games

Umpire Greg Gibson will be behind the plate Sunday when the Royals visit the Angels. The Under is an impressive 34-12-6 in his last 52 games behind home plate, and 4-0-3 in his last seven games involving the Halos.


Toronto over Boston +160(2.6) 1 unit

I like Toronto in this spot and we are getting great value as the public loves Boston.
A few very interesting trends.

The Red Sox are 22-30 (-22units, -30% ROI) as a road favorite when on a winning streak of 3 or more games since 2004.

2011: 4-3
2010: 1-2
2009: 5-5
2008: 3-4
2007: 2-6

Road favorites on 8 game winning streaks are 5-13 (-13.5u, -51.3% ROI) last 8 years.

Home dogs with lines greater than +130 in game 3 of a series are 128-137 (+60.7u, 22.9% ROI) last 8 years where they lost the previous game.