Virginia -3 over Southern Miss -106(1.94) 2 units
SM has struggled so far on offense and it will get worse here. Virginia has a great Defensive front and they will create a lot of pressure on the SM QB.
Virginia is not a power house but they do have some good players but more importantly experience. They have 18 starters returning from last year which is very valuable. To get to a bowl game this year they need to win this game.
UCLA +4 over Oregon State -103(1.97) 1 unit
Some better lines out there so shop around
Two struggling teams but Oregon St does not deserve to be a fav here. UCLA is not good but they are not that bad imo. They have lost to Houston and Texas so far this year. Both are decent teams and it will be easier today. UCLA rushed for 141 at Texas which is good. They also have a new QB in Brehaut that everyone seems to like better.
Sorry about the short write ups but very busy with the big card
Saturday, September 24, 2011
Saturday NCAA
1800 CET
Pittsburgh +7 over Notre Dame -105(1.95) 1 unit
ND is not as good as hyped up by many imo. They have only won one game this year mainly because of bad defense and many turnovers. That is a recipe for losing games, especially on the road. They have some weapons on offense but it’s tough to cover 7 on the road against a good team if you have a bad defense. ND also probably plays it a little save with their big turnover problems.
Pitt is a very good offensive team with good balance. This is their biggest home game of the year and will be very fired up. They got burned on defense last week to lose that game late but that doesn’t have to be a bad thing. More focus on defense this week and I think they will play better.
Pitt runs the ball well so I think they will be able to control the clock, keeping the ND offense on the side lines.
Friday, September 23, 2011
Best NCAA bet so far this year
is Colorado +14.5 imo.
I love the spot here with Ohio State struggling on offense. CU is playing better every game and I think they have a good shot at the upset here. They have some experience of defense and against a freshman QB I like their chances.
Colorado +14.5 over Ohio State +109(2.09) 2.7 units
Colorado ML +570(6.7) 0.3 units
This is the second max stake bet ever on this blog!
One NFL bet we need to take early
Tennessee -6.5 over Denver -110(1.91) 1.5 units
I love the spot here with Ohio State struggling on offense. CU is playing better every game and I think they have a good shot at the upset here. They have some experience of defense and against a freshman QB I like their chances.
Colorado +14.5 over Ohio State +109(2.09) 2.7 units
Colorado ML +570(6.7) 0.3 units
This is the second max stake bet ever on this blog!
One NFL bet we need to take early
Tennessee -6.5 over Denver -110(1.91) 1.5 units
We need to take this early as several important Denver players have been ruled out for this game today. Several others are also banged up and will not be close to full strength.
I like Denver as a team at full strength but with these important players out or questionable I don’t like them at all. They are very thin at wide receiver. Their best defensive player, Dumervil ws ruled out today and that is a huge blow to this defense. They already had problems stopping the run against Oakland in week 1 and this game will be worse imo. Oakland ran for 190 yards in that game and Denver had no stop for it. Last week against Cincinnati Denver only game up 72 yards on the ground but Cincy is a worthless team imo, playing a rookie QB where it is easy to load up against the run.
This week Denver has to try to stop one of the best runners in the league. RB Johnson will only get better every game since he is still getting into it after his hold out for a new contract. Ten also have a very good QB in Hasselbeck and strong wide receivers. It is a very balanced attack that sets up play action passing with their good running game.
Tennessee put up over 400 yards on Baltimore last week which is very impressive. Because of this I’m comfortable laying -6.5 and I expect them to win big.
Saturday, September 17, 2011
Big plays
Illinois -2.5 over Arizona State -106 2 units
Florida State +3.5 over Oklahoma -104 2 units
LA Tech +6.5 over Houston -110 1 unit
Florida State +3.5 over Oklahoma -104 2 units
LA Tech +6.5 over Houston -110 1 unit
Thursday, September 15, 2011
Friday, September 9, 2011
A few more home dogs
Kansas +4.5 over N Illinois -105 1 unit
This line is going down but still plenty of value here. I like Kansas and think they will be good ATS this year. They have some experience and new head coach Gill is doing good things imo.
NI has a very inexperienced defense and a new coach who is playing it's first road game.
Kansas should be favored in my book.
Colorado +4.5 over California +120 1 unit
Trying Colorado again since I liked what I saw last week. Some protection problems but that was expected. First home game for the new coach that will have everyone fired up.
This is another team that I think will be good ATS, especially at home. It's important to remember the huge advantage CU has playing their home game on high altitude. College games are often 4 hours long and many teams wear down late in the game.
This line is going down but still plenty of value here. I like Kansas and think they will be good ATS this year. They have some experience and new head coach Gill is doing good things imo.
NI has a very inexperienced defense and a new coach who is playing it's first road game.
Kansas should be favored in my book.
Colorado +4.5 over California +120 1 unit
Trying Colorado again since I liked what I saw last week. Some protection problems but that was expected. First home game for the new coach that will have everyone fired up.
This is another team that I think will be good ATS, especially at home. It's important to remember the huge advantage CU has playing their home game on high altitude. College games are often 4 hours long and many teams wear down late in the game.
Thursday, September 8, 2011
Under
for the first NFL game of the year
New Orleans-Green Bay under 47.5 -105 1 unit
These are two very good teams and yes, they can score some points. It is important to remember that these defenses are also very good. They were the 4th and the 5th ranked in the leauge last year. GB had many injuries last year I think their defense will be even sharper.
Some interesting stats
Under is 9-3 in Saints last 12 games in Week 1.
Under is 5-2 in Saints last 7 games on grass.
Under is 17-7 in Saints last 24 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
New Orleans-Green Bay under 47.5 -105 1 unit
These are two very good teams and yes, they can score some points. It is important to remember that these defenses are also very good. They were the 4th and the 5th ranked in the leauge last year. GB had many injuries last year I think their defense will be even sharper.
Some interesting stats
Under is 9-3 in Saints last 12 games in Week 1.
Under is 5-2 in Saints last 7 games on grass.
Under is 17-7 in Saints last 24 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Tuesday, September 6, 2011
Early Dogs
The way these home dogs are going down it is necessary to bet some of them early. From what I see on the boards these are going to go down the next few days.
Army +9.5 over San Diego State -103 1 unit
Army looked terrible in their first game but they are not a bad team. I think they will bounce back strong at home.
SDST are traveling across the country to an early kickoff at noon on the east coast. This is a very difficult spot for them since that will be 9 in the morning their time. This is unusual in college football but more common in the NFL. In the NFL west coast teams struggle in this situation and I believe these young kids will have a tough time adjusting.
Penn State +10 over Alabama -105 1 unit
An experienced home dog against a ranked team is usually a very successful formula in college football. This game is huge for Penn with nothing to lose on prime time TV with the whole country watching.
Alabama is very good but their QBs did not look good at all last week. I see the Alabama being a little too predictable because of this. The Penn D will be fired up and with all the experience they have, they should keep it close.
This week’s card looks very nice and I will have at least two more home dogs but we will likely get better offers closer to Saturday so I’ll wait with those.
Army +9.5 over San Diego State -103 1 unit
Army looked terrible in their first game but they are not a bad team. I think they will bounce back strong at home.
SDST are traveling across the country to an early kickoff at noon on the east coast. This is a very difficult spot for them since that will be 9 in the morning their time. This is unusual in college football but more common in the NFL. In the NFL west coast teams struggle in this situation and I believe these young kids will have a tough time adjusting.
Penn State +10 over Alabama -105 1 unit
An experienced home dog against a ranked team is usually a very successful formula in college football. This game is huge for Penn with nothing to lose on prime time TV with the whole country watching.
Alabama is very good but their QBs did not look good at all last week. I see the Alabama being a little too predictable because of this. The Penn D will be fired up and with all the experience they have, they should keep it close.
This week’s card looks very nice and I will have at least two more home dogs but we will likely get better offers closer to Saturday so I’ll wait with those.
Monday, September 5, 2011
The U tonight
Miami +4 over Maryland -105(1.95) 1 unit
Miami is in huge trouble with the NCAA and will have to go trough a long investigation. This is why they are a dog in this game. They have several players suspended fro this game including the starting QB. In these situations it is typical for the public to over react and think the betting the home team is a steal.
I think Miami will come together as a team and win this game. The have a new good coach so in that way it's a fresh start. The weather is expected to be wet so I like Miami to run the ball and control the game and the clock in this game.
I also took Arizona early since I think that line will go under 14 by game time.
Arizona +14.5 over Oklahoma State -108(1.92) 1 unit
Miami is in huge trouble with the NCAA and will have to go trough a long investigation. This is why they are a dog in this game. They have several players suspended fro this game including the starting QB. In these situations it is typical for the public to over react and think the betting the home team is a steal.
I think Miami will come together as a team and win this game. The have a new good coach so in that way it's a fresh start. The weather is expected to be wet so I like Miami to run the ball and control the game and the clock in this game.
I also took Arizona early since I think that line will go under 14 by game time.
Arizona +14.5 over Oklahoma State -108(1.92) 1 unit
Friday, September 2, 2011
More fotball:)
NCAA Fotball
Saturday
South Florida +10.5 over Notre Dame -107(1.93) 1.5 units
Notre Dame has a high preseason ranking and they are being hyped in the media. ND has struggled for a long time but is still strangely enough a very public team. They have been horrible as a favorite and especially as a big fav.
Below are some very telling stats from last year.
· Fighting Irish are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
· Fighting Irish are 6-18-2 ATS in their last 26 games as a home favorite.
· Fighting Irish are 6-19-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
· Fighting Irish are 2-8-2 ATS in their last 12 home games.
· Fighting Irish are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. Big East.
· Fighting Irish are 2-12-2 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite.
· Fighting Irish are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games in September.
· Bulls are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
· Bulls are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater.
I see some very good forum posters on this game and watching the market I’m very confident in this pick.
LSU +3.5 over Oregon -110(1.91) 1 unit
Other books with similar and Pinnacle with a bit lower
It’s been crazy for both teams before this game with suspensions for both teams. LSU will play their backup QB which made them a bigger dog. However, I and others with me think they have a better chance with the backup that is a very capable player.
LSU is an interesting team with a crazy coach in Miles but I like them as a dog. LSU has a great D line and a very fast secondary. The speed on defense will able to disturb the fast Oregon offense imo.
There is some reverse line movement on this game so sharp money agrees here.
This game is played in Dallas so it’s more of a home field for LSU.
UL Lafayette +38 over Oklahoma State -105(1.95) 1 unit
The squares and the public like to bet the favorites, especially in the first week. I like a few big dogs but this is the best one imo. Oklahoma State is ranked 8th in the country which is their highest ever pre season rank. OSU has had a few good years but this team is still not used to be a big time program. They have a very big game coming up against Arizona and many players will look forward to that game. I see OSU playing pretty sloppy in this first game. OSU has a new offensive coordinator which also could affect them.
ULL is obviously not good but they have an ok offensive line and a great TE. With only 5 starters returning for OSU on defense I can see the away team scoring some points.
With a big game coming up I can see OSU pulling some starters in the end opening up for a back door cover if needed.
Wednesday, August 31, 2011
First NCAA play
NCAAF
Saturday
Colorado +7 over Hawaii -107(1.93) @ Pinnacle 1 units
Colorado is undervalued because they have a 17 game losing streak on the road and a new coaching staff. However, the old coach was an idiot imo so I think this team might surprise this year. They return 16 starters which is huge. Experience is huge in NCAA sports since the players are only 18-22 years old.
Hawaii is only bringing back 9 starters from last year with only 4 on offense. The Hawaii QB is good but his receivers have had some injuries getting ready for the season and their main WR is suspended for this game.
I expect this line to go down by Saturday so I think it’s best to take it now.
I will have a few more bets but will wait on those since the lines are moving the right way.
Fotball season is finally here:)
The football season starts for real tomorrow with NCAA and here are a few lines about it since this sport is a little different from many others. I also explain some about how I bet for the new readers.
Here is how the value is created imo. It is not about beating the books. It is about beating the other bettors. Public perception creates the value and often I “need” the same results as the books to profit. This means that I often bet “big games” such as the Super bowl, NCAA finals since “the public” always bet these games hard, creating nice value.
The public also often bets certain teams hard. These public teams are usually a good fade especially when they play on the road. Since there are many games it is very doable making a profit if picking games selectively.
Previous years I have picked many games late since it is important to know the latest about who will play and who won’t. I will still post some picks late, because of late info but also bets that are getting steamed late. However, I will post more bets early before odds are starting to go down. I have already done that this year in the NFL and will continue.
I’m mainly a dog bettors and I like to take small dogs for the first half since they might not get +3 for FT but any + line is very valuable for the HT bet since a game can be tied in HT but not FT.
Tuesday, August 30, 2011
Monday, August 29, 2011
Sunday, August 28, 2011
Saturday, August 27, 2011
Big Play
against Verlander today
Minnesota +1.5 over Detroit +111(2.11) 1.5 units
Minnesota +190(2.9) 0.5 units
Minnesota +1.5 over Detroit +111(2.11) 1.5 units
Minnesota +190(2.9) 0.5 units
Friday, August 26, 2011
Thursday, August 25, 2011
Two early big nfl bets
Sep 12
Washington +3.5 over New York -110(1.91) 2 units
Washington is just about to finish their 3rd preseason game when I write this. The starters played the first half and they looked great. The offense looked sharp and the defense played very aggressive.
I think Washington could be a surprise team this season. They have the second highest odds to win the super bowl this year. However, Shanahan is a very good coach and has had some time to get this roster and scheme like he wants it. They are very under rated because of their QBs. The public and media is laughing at Grossman and Beck but they sure looked sharp today imo.
Pinnacle went from 1.88 down to 1.82 since the game started so it’s obvious that the sharps agree here.
New York had one very important injury last game with a starting corner back going down. That is a big blow to them and Washington will be able to exploit that. NY is a pretty solid team but they have too many weaknesses imo. QB Manning is overated imo. He had 31 tds last year but 25 ints aswell. That is many mistakes and with this aggressive Wash defense I think it’s likely Manning will make mistakes.
Washington will be very fired up in this home opener. Home field advantage is huge here and woerth more than the regular 3 points imo. The total for this game is 37 which is a low number in the NFL. Getting 3.5 is a big spread in a probably low scoring game. Most games are won by 3 so getting the hook is very valuable.
I think Washington should be favored about -3 here so it’s worth a major bet. I’m confident these odds will change quiet a bit so I advise also to set this up for a middle.
Just like the Denver bet I wish I could wait but this offer will not be here much longer…..
Denver -2.5 over Oakland -110(1.91) 1.5 units
Usually I don’t take bets this far in advance since things can change and injuries can happen but I make an exception. I had my eye on this one but now the line is changing and it is a must before this one hits -3 and beyond. Denver is under rated because of their terrible season last year. It was mostly their defense that struggled and was added on to with injuries. They have a new head coach(Fox) who’s focus is on defense. His defense has looked much improved in the first 2 games of the preseason. The offense looks sharp with both the passing and running looking good.
Oakland is over rated after going 6-0 in their division last year. They had some good breaks in some games and are not a solid team imo. They lost their best defender from last year and the defense has looked open in the preseason.
This will be a very emotional game for Denver. They got blown on twice against Oakland last year losing 59-14 at home. This is a Monday night game on prime time so home field advantage will be greater imo. Since it is also a big revenge game I really like this situation.
Denver will be better on both sides of the ball imo. There is a big difference between the QBs. Campbell had 13 tds and 8 int last year while Orton had 20-9.
Denver will play a different tougher type of football this year and so far it looks great. This style will fit perfect at home on a Monday night with the whole country watching. It’s important to take this before it hits 3 but I think they win comfortable by 10 so it’s worth an above med stake.
Washington +3.5 over New York -110(1.91) 2 units
Washington is just about to finish their 3rd preseason game when I write this. The starters played the first half and they looked great. The offense looked sharp and the defense played very aggressive.
I think Washington could be a surprise team this season. They have the second highest odds to win the super bowl this year. However, Shanahan is a very good coach and has had some time to get this roster and scheme like he wants it. They are very under rated because of their QBs. The public and media is laughing at Grossman and Beck but they sure looked sharp today imo.
Pinnacle went from 1.88 down to 1.82 since the game started so it’s obvious that the sharps agree here.
New York had one very important injury last game with a starting corner back going down. That is a big blow to them and Washington will be able to exploit that. NY is a pretty solid team but they have too many weaknesses imo. QB Manning is overated imo. He had 31 tds last year but 25 ints aswell. That is many mistakes and with this aggressive Wash defense I think it’s likely Manning will make mistakes.
Washington will be very fired up in this home opener. Home field advantage is huge here and woerth more than the regular 3 points imo. The total for this game is 37 which is a low number in the NFL. Getting 3.5 is a big spread in a probably low scoring game. Most games are won by 3 so getting the hook is very valuable.
I think Washington should be favored about -3 here so it’s worth a major bet. I’m confident these odds will change quiet a bit so I advise also to set this up for a middle.
Just like the Denver bet I wish I could wait but this offer will not be here much longer…..
Denver -2.5 over Oakland -110(1.91) 1.5 units
Usually I don’t take bets this far in advance since things can change and injuries can happen but I make an exception. I had my eye on this one but now the line is changing and it is a must before this one hits -3 and beyond. Denver is under rated because of their terrible season last year. It was mostly their defense that struggled and was added on to with injuries. They have a new head coach(Fox) who’s focus is on defense. His defense has looked much improved in the first 2 games of the preseason. The offense looks sharp with both the passing and running looking good.
Oakland is over rated after going 6-0 in their division last year. They had some good breaks in some games and are not a solid team imo. They lost their best defender from last year and the defense has looked open in the preseason.
This will be a very emotional game for Denver. They got blown on twice against Oakland last year losing 59-14 at home. This is a Monday night game on prime time so home field advantage will be greater imo. Since it is also a big revenge game I really like this situation.
Denver will be better on both sides of the ball imo. There is a big difference between the QBs. Campbell had 13 tds and 8 int last year while Orton had 20-9.
Denver will play a different tougher type of football this year and so far it looks great. This style will fit perfect at home on a Monday night with the whole country watching. It’s important to take this before it hits 3 but I think they win comfortable by 10 so it’s worth an above med stake.
Barclays 1st round
PGA Tour Barclays
1900 CET
Mahan over Dustin Johnson +100 @ Pinnacle 1.5 units
The Greek also offering the same play
Both players have not played as well as can lately. Mahan has played better with 34,37,19 his last 3.
Johnsons current form is not good with 48th(in a small 75 players field) and a missed cut in the PGA.
Johnson is often hit or miss since he has several low finishes but also often play bad.
Mahan often starts tournaments well with a scoring average of 70(11th on tour) for the two first rounds of tournaments. Johnson has 71.2(122th on tour in that category) This stat does not lie. Mahan starts much better than Johnson. With Johnson being a little out of form this is clearly worth a play since Mahan should be favored. I also like going against Johnson since I know he has an off the course issue....
Monday, August 22, 2011
Wednesday, August 17, 2011
Golf
The bets are back after a few weeks off. Golf is a sport where books are often way off. I don't post golf that often since the limits are quiet low.
Wyndham Championships
Leonard to win 3 ball over Harrington,Casey +200(3+) 1 unit
All three players are struggling and have similar recent form. Harrington and Casey were late into this tournament since they need more points to make the post season.
Harrington has some serious ball striking problems. Both in greens and fairways hit he is very low. Casey is hitting some greens but hits no fairways.
Casey’s best finish in his last 7 starts in the US is 45th and that was in a small field. He has not had a first round under 71 since March.
Harrington has played somewhat better but he has not been better than 54th the last 4 weeks. Much of his game has been scrambling since he is hitting the ball so bad.
Leonard’s big weakness is that he hits the ball very short. He has to compensate for that by being close to perfect with the rest of his game. The good thing for this bet is that this course is very short. It also has only two par 5s and they are pretty short both of them. This means that also Leonard can reach these in two shots so the edge longer hitters usually have is gone here.
Leonard was 3rd on this course last year, Casey 26th and Harrington didn’t play.
Monday, July 25, 2011
Sunday, July 24, 2011
Saturday, July 23, 2011
Saturday
Kansas City +105 over Tampa 1.5 units
Washington +110 over LA 1.5 units
Seattle +1.5 +125 over Boston 1 unit
Washington +110 over LA 1.5 units
Seattle +1.5 +125 over Boston 1 unit
Friday, July 22, 2011
Seattle is the first play
Seattle over Boston +136(2.36) 1 unit
Toronto +1.5 -108(1.92) 1 unit
Cincinnati +105(2.05) over Atlanta 1 unit
Last play is
Kansas City -102(1.92) over Tampa Bay 1 unit
Toronto +1.5 -108(1.92) 1 unit
Cincinnati +105(2.05) over Atlanta 1 unit
Last play is
Kansas City -102(1.92) over Tampa Bay 1 unit
Thursday, July 21, 2011
Sabathia is good but I'm going with
Tampa over Yankees +125(2.25) 1 unit
I also have some change on the reverse run line
I also have some change on the reverse run line
Wednesday, July 20, 2011
Big play is
Colorado over Atlanta -110(1.91) 2 units
Nice line movement here against a public road dog. Several of my sources also on this game so it looks good before the game.
Nice line movement here against a public road dog. Several of my sources also on this game so it looks good before the game.
Monday, July 18, 2011
Two more
Chicago Cubs +1.5 +110(2.1) over Philadelphia 1 unit
Kansas City +111(2.11) over Chicago White Sox 1 unit
Kansas City +111(2.11) over Chicago White Sox 1 unit
Saturday, July 16, 2011
another big play saturday
Houston -120(1.83) over Pittsburgh 2 units
There is some major reverse line movement here. The world likes Pitt but the line has gone down from -111 where it opened at Pinnacle.
Several of my sources bet this game big and many other sharps are as well.
Public road dog are usually a very bad play so I like to side with the books and sharp money.
There is some major reverse line movement here. The world likes Pitt but the line has gone down from -111 where it opened at Pinnacle.
Several of my sources bet this game big and many other sharps are as well.
Public road dog are usually a very bad play so I like to side with the books and sharp money.
Saturday golf
Golf is a very interesting betting sport since this is a sport where oddsmakers can still be beat. This is the sport that I started building my bankroll many years ago. I usually don't post the golf bets since the limits are not great. This is the 3rd round of the BO and all books will have this h2h with nice limits.
3rd round h2h
Darren Clarke over Lucas Glover -110(1.91) 2 units
I doubt Glover has seen weather like this ever. It is raining hard and it is windy. Clark is from the UK and is used to this. His experience of this gives him a huge edge here.
Clarke has played many BOs with some success, Glover has played a few woth no succees.
Clarke should be a big fav here!
3rd round h2h
Darren Clarke over Lucas Glover -110(1.91) 2 units
I doubt Glover has seen weather like this ever. It is raining hard and it is windy. Clark is from the UK and is used to this. His experience of this gives him a huge edge here.
Clarke has played many BOs with some success, Glover has played a few woth no succees.
Clarke should be a big fav here!
Friday, July 15, 2011
Thursday, July 14, 2011
Vacation
is over and I will have two MLB plays today
Baltimore +105(2.05) 1 unit
Toronto +125(2.25) 1 unit
Baltimore +105(2.05) 1 unit
Toronto +125(2.25) 1 unit
Saturday, June 25, 2011
Saturday
Very interesting card today and I will likely have 3 plays. Starts off early with the Rockies.
Colorado +1.5 +111(2.11) over NY Yankees 1 unit
Several things is setting this up perfect. The Rockies won last night and the public don't think they will do it again. Sabathia is their stud and over rated.
This line has made a huge move from opening at -112(1.88) so it is a must play in my book. The odds keep going up so wait as long as you can.
Colorado +1.5 +111(2.11) over NY Yankees 1 unit
Several things is setting this up perfect. The Rockies won last night and the public don't think they will do it again. Sabathia is their stud and over rated.
This line has made a huge move from opening at -112(1.88) so it is a must play in my book. The odds keep going up so wait as long as you can.
Friday, June 24, 2011
Wednesday, June 22, 2011
Later dogs
St Louis over Philadelphia +141(2.41) 1 unit
Philly is generally over rated, especially with Lee. Several sources again agreeing here so this is a no brainer bet.
Lohses is underated and I like these trends.
Cardinals are 10-2 in Lohses last 12 starts as a home underdog.
Cardinals are 5-2 in Lohses last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Philly is generally over rated, especially with Lee. Several sources again agreeing here so this is a no brainer bet.
Lohses is underated and I like these trends.
Kansas city over Arizona +110(2.1) 1 unit
Another ugly dog that nobody wants, yet the line is going down on Pinnacle.
Another ugly dog that nobody wants, yet the line is going down on Pinnacle.
Big Wednesday
No plays for a few days as I have been traveling. VERY interesting card today and I will have 3 plays.
New York Mets over Oakland +100(2.0) 1 unit
Several of my sources agrees here so it is a must play. Watching how the market bet this game supports this bet. The Mets opened as -108(1.92) fav and was bet down hard to -120 (1.83). After that, today the public has bet the other side all day giving us very nice value on the home team. The sharps are clearly on the home team here some I'm very confident doing the same.
The public is trusting Gonzales to much here imo.
New York Mets over Oakland +100(2.0) 1 unit
Several of my sources agrees here so it is a must play. Watching how the market bet this game supports this bet. The Mets opened as -108(1.92) fav and was bet down hard to -120 (1.83). After that, today the public has bet the other side all day giving us very nice value on the home team. The sharps are clearly on the home team here some I'm very confident doing the same.
The public is trusting Gonzales to much here imo.
Saturday, June 18, 2011
Oakland
is the only play today. Very interesting how the market has bet this game. The public likes the giants but the odds have gone down, alot since it opened. There are different opinons on what to do with games like this. Some say there is no value left but the fact is that these games hit very often. There is some serious sharp money on this 31-40 team.
Oakland over San Fransisco -110(1.91) 2 units
Oakland over San Fransisco -110(1.91) 2 units
Friday, June 17, 2011
Friday
Bets bet today is Milwaukee imo.
Milwaukee over Boston +124(2.24) 1.5 units
I continue to fade Boston as the public is betting their streak creating nice value. These odds have been bet up during the day.
Both teams have some trends going for them but I like I few for MIL.
Brewers are 20-6 in their last 26 vs. a team with a winning record.
Brewers are 21-7 in their last 28 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Brewers are 23-10 in their last 33 overall.
Brewers are 11-1 in their last 12 games following a loss.
Brewers are 6-1 in their last 7 interleague games as an underdog.
Lackey is overated imo. He has some good long term stats but this year he has not been good going 4-5 with an ERA of 7.41
Milwaukee over Boston +124(2.24) 1.5 units
I continue to fade Boston as the public is betting their streak creating nice value. These odds have been bet up during the day.
Both teams have some trends going for them but I like I few for MIL.
Lackey is overated imo. He has some good long term stats but this year he has not been good going 4-5 with an ERA of 7.41
Thursday, June 16, 2011
Thursday
3 plays today
I'll update with some write ups as I go
Tampa over Boston -118(1.85) 2 units
I like that tampa has such a good record against Boston.
Red Sox are 4-10 in the last 14 meetings.
Red Sox are 2-6 in the last 8 meetings in Tampa Bay.
Price is a great pitcher, better than his 7-5 record this year.
Rays are 36-15 in Prices last 51 starts.
Rays are 25-7 in Prices last 32 starts with 4 days of rest.
Pinnacle aslo agrees, staying under or the same odds as the other books. It is a great sign when Pinnacle is very low on a game.
Washington over St Louis -103(1.97) 1 unit
Washington is playing great right now and i think it will continue. We get some nice value here, the public don't think St Louis is going to get swept.
I like lannan here as a fav. WAS are 7-2 in Lannans last 9 starts as a favorite.
Atlanta-New York under 8 +100(2.0)
I'm betting against the public here again. The over has been bet hard giving us nice value on the under.
Under is 20-7-1 in the last 28 meetings
The ref might help as well. Under is 40-13 in Hoyes last 53 games behind home plate
I'll update with some write ups as I go
Tampa over Boston -118(1.85) 2 units
I like that tampa has such a good record against Boston.
Price is a great pitcher, better than his 7-5 record this year.
Rays are 36-15 in Prices last 51 starts.
Rays are 25-7 in Prices last 32 starts with 4 days of rest.
Pinnacle aslo agrees, staying under or the same odds as the other books. It is a great sign when Pinnacle is very low on a game.
Washington over St Louis -103(1.97) 1 unit
Washington is playing great right now and i think it will continue. We get some nice value here, the public don't think St Louis is going to get swept.
I like lannan here as a fav. WAS are 7-2 in Lannans last 9 starts as a favorite.
Atlanta-New York under 8 +100(2.0)
I'm betting against the public here again. The over has been bet hard giving us nice value on the under.
Under is 20-7-1 in the last 28 meetings
The ref might help as well. Under is 40-13 in Hoyes last 53 games behind home plate
Wednesday, June 15, 2011
Problems
I have had computer problem today so thats why I'm so late with posting plays.
The other play I took today is Washington. It sucks that I couldn't post it earlier since it has steamed down late.
For the hockey game I like the under just like the whole series but those odds has been bet down hard all day. I recomend taking it live if there is a goal or 2 in the first epriod.
The other play I took today is Washington. It sucks that I couldn't post it earlier since it has steamed down late.
For the hockey game I like the under just like the whole series but those odds has been bet down hard all day. I recomend taking it live if there is a goal or 2 in the first epriod.
Wednesday Baseball
It looks like I will have a few plays today
Florida over Philly +173(2.73) 1 unit
Halladay is overated imo and Sanchez is a solid pitcher. The public help quiet a bit here creating nice value. Florida is a good team away with 17-13.
Florida over Philly +173(2.73) 1 unit
Halladay is overated imo and Sanchez is a solid pitcher. The public help quiet a bit here creating nice value. Florida is a good team away with 17-13.
Tuesday, June 14, 2011
Tampa
I will have a 2 unit bet on Tampa. The game starts in about 90 min. I will wait since I think the odds will go up a little. I will post official odds in about an hour.
Tampa over Boston -125(1.8) 2 units
I thought the odds would move some but nothing happened. Thats not a bad sign though.
Boston are 3-9 against Tampa the last 12
Red Sox are 5-15 in Wakefields last 20 road starts vs. a team with a winning record
Red Sox are 1-5 in Wakefields last 6 road starts vs. Rays.
Rays are 9-3 in Shields' last 12 starts.
Wakefield is a liability for Boston. The public keeps betting Boston because of their streak and this gives us nice value against the public road dog. Public road dogs usually do very bad.
Im also considering the under in the same game since Under is 38-12-1 in Rays last 51 home games.
I might add the under later.
Tampa over Boston -125(1.8) 2 units
I thought the odds would move some but nothing happened. Thats not a bad sign though.
Boston are 3-9 against Tampa the last 12
Red Sox are 5-15 in Wakefields last 20 road starts vs. a team with a winning record
Red Sox are 1-5 in Wakefields last 6 road starts vs. Rays.
Rays are 9-3 in Shields' last 12 starts.
Wakefield is a liability for Boston. The public keeps betting Boston because of their streak and this gives us nice value against the public road dog. Public road dogs usually do very bad.
Im also considering the under in the same game since Under is 38-12-1 in Rays last 51 home games.
I might add the under later.
Monday, June 13, 2011
Monday Hockey
Boston-Vancover under 5 +100(2.0) 1.5 units
These odds might go up and if you get +105 or better its a 2 unit play.
These teams are are 108-85 under for the season. They are 3-1-1 under for this finals series. Goal tending has been great so far. I've been watching most of these games and love the under here.
These odds might go up and if you get +105 or better its a 2 unit play.
These teams are are 108-85 under for the season. They are 3-1-1 under for this finals series. Goal tending has been great so far. I've been watching most of these games and love the under here.
Sunday, June 12, 2011
Sunday
Kansas City-LA Angels under 9 -103(1.97) 1 unit
The public likes the over because of the high scoring game yesterday. KC is an "overish" team but LA has only scored more than 3 runs once in the last 10 games(yesterday). The LA defense is good so this is a really sold under.
some good trends
Under is 7-2 in LAA last 9 overall.
Under is 7-2 in LAA last 9 on grass.
Under is 33-13-6 in LAA last 52 home games
Umpire Greg Gibson will be behind the plate Sunday when the Royals visit the Angels. The Under is an impressive 34-12-6 in his last 52 games behind home plate, and 4-0-3 in his last seven games involving the Halos.
Toronto over Boston +160(2.6) 1 unit
I like Toronto in this spot and we are getting great value as the public loves Boston.
A few very interesting trends.
The Red Sox are 22-30 (-22units, -30% ROI) as a road favorite when on a winning streak of 3 or more games since 2004.
2011: 4-3
2010: 1-2
2009: 5-5
2008: 3-4
2007: 2-6
Road favorites on 8 game winning streaks are 5-13 (-13.5u, -51.3% ROI) last 8 years.
Home dogs with lines greater than +130 in game 3 of a series are 128-137 (+60.7u, 22.9% ROI) last 8 years where they lost the previous game.
The public likes the over because of the high scoring game yesterday. KC is an "overish" team but LA has only scored more than 3 runs once in the last 10 games(yesterday). The LA defense is good so this is a really sold under.
some good trends
Under is 7-2 in LAA last 9 overall.
Toronto over Boston +160(2.6) 1 unit
I like Toronto in this spot and we are getting great value as the public loves Boston.
A few very interesting trends.
The Red Sox are 22-30 (-22units, -30% ROI) as a road favorite when on a winning streak of 3 or more games since 2004.
2011: 4-3
2010: 1-2
2009: 5-5
2008: 3-4
2007: 2-6
Road favorites on 8 game winning streaks are 5-13 (-13.5u, -51.3% ROI) last 8 years.
Home dogs with lines greater than +130 in game 3 of a series are 128-137 (+60.7u, 22.9% ROI) last 8 years where they lost the previous game.
Saturday, June 11, 2011
more baseball
Yankees-Indians under 9.5 +110(2.1) 1 unit
This is one of those very square overs where the books win. The game yesterday went way over and the Yanks have 3 big overs in a row. When books open over 9.5 at -105 it looks very easy to take it, and many people did. Talbot is a good pitcher and is 6-2 under his last 8. Combined the two pitchers are 8-5 under the last 13.
This is a trap game where the books want action on the over. These games usually end up with the books winning. The game is in about an hour but wait and take this closer to game time.
This is one of those very square overs where the books win. The game yesterday went way over and the Yanks have 3 big overs in a row. When books open over 9.5 at -105 it looks very easy to take it, and many people did. Talbot is a good pitcher and is 6-2 under his last 8. Combined the two pitchers are 8-5 under the last 13.
This is a trap game where the books want action on the over. These games usually end up with the books winning. The game is in about an hour but wait and take this closer to game time.
Friday, June 10, 2011
Friday Baseball and Hockey
3 plays are for sure today
Bruins-Canucks under 5 +103(2.03) 1 unit
Pittsburgh over New York Mets -105(1.95) 1 unit
Milwaukee over St Louis -109(1.92) 1 unit
Better odds are available on the hockey play and can be taken with 1.5 units if you get over +105(2.05)
Bruins-Canucks under 5 +103(2.03) 1 unit
Pittsburgh over New York Mets -105(1.95) 1 unit
Milwaukee over St Louis -109(1.92) 1 unit
Better odds are available on the hockey play and can be taken with 1.5 units if you get over +105(2.05)
Thursday, June 9, 2011
Thursday
Kansas City over Toronto +128(2.28) @ Pinnacle 1 unit
I'm not sure if I will be in before this game starts so I post it now. Odds might go up even more.
The card looks very interesting so i think I will have 2 more.
I'm not sure if I will be in before this game starts so I post it now. Odds might go up even more.
The card looks very interesting so i think I will have 2 more.
Wednesday, June 8, 2011
1 more
After late info i will add one more play. The market agrees with my sources so I take this one a little bigger than normal.
Kansas City over Toronto -114(1.88) @ Pinnacle 1.5 units
Kansas City over Toronto -114(1.88) @ Pinnacle 1.5 units
More baseball
Is a play today again. The public has been driving the odds up all day. The game is in over an hour so I will wait and see if I can get an even better price.
Boston over New York +126(2.26) 1 unit
I might have another play later.
Boston over New York +126(2.26) 1 unit
I might have another play later.
Wednesday baseball
Early game
Washington over San Fransisco +170(2.7) 1 unit
this one is going down on Pinnacle so shop around for best odds
Washington over San Fransisco +170(2.7) 1 unit
this one is going down on Pinnacle so shop around for best odds
Tuesday, June 7, 2011
Wednesday
It was a good day today with Boston covering the RL, Dirk going way under and livebetting this game worked out very well.
There is one play I will take early for tomorrow. The public is betting the hockey game(Boston-Vancover) over because of the high scoring game yesterday. I have watched all three games and the first were very "underish" with great goaltending. They key for the under imo, is if Boston can stay out of the penalty box. Vancovers defense will bounce back imo after that last crazy game.
Boston-Vancover under 5 +116 @ Pinnacle 1 unit
I might add a little more if the odds keep going up.
There is one play I will take early for tomorrow. The public is betting the hockey game(Boston-Vancover) over because of the high scoring game yesterday. I have watched all three games and the first were very "underish" with great goaltending. They key for the under imo, is if Boston can stay out of the penalty box. Vancovers defense will bounce back imo after that last crazy game.
Boston-Vancover under 5 +116 @ Pinnacle 1 unit
I might add a little more if the odds keep going up.
NBA and Baseball
So far I've been taking the under every(2-1) time in this series. Today I won't unless I get some information closer to tip off. I back off today because the line is adjusted(2 points) and I have a feeling there will be some points tonight. Watching the market I feel even more comfortable backing off.
I did take a shot at Nowitzki under 28.5 points(+100, 2.0). He played great the last game but I think Miami will be all over him today. I think the rest of the Dallas team is going to have to win it for them today. I think it's likely Dirk will be doubled today.
It would be easy to assume that I like Miami again, since I maxed out last game but I'm not sure. I will likely back off and bet live if anything. Both teams are great at coming back in games and make it close, so I'm open to take both sides live.
As for bases I'm likely to bet Boston big. I'm waiting for confirmation on that one but it's likely to be a Double play. Might have one more but I'm still working on it.
Edit: posting the Boston pick now
Boston over NY Yankees -120(1.83) 1.5 units
Boston -1.5 +135(2.35) 0.5 units
Houston over St Louis +125(2.25) 1 unit
I did take a shot at Nowitzki under 28.5 points(+100, 2.0). He played great the last game but I think Miami will be all over him today. I think the rest of the Dallas team is going to have to win it for them today. I think it's likely Dirk will be doubled today.
It would be easy to assume that I like Miami again, since I maxed out last game but I'm not sure. I will likely back off and bet live if anything. Both teams are great at coming back in games and make it close, so I'm open to take both sides live.
As for bases I'm likely to bet Boston big. I'm waiting for confirmation on that one but it's likely to be a Double play. Might have one more but I'm still working on it.
Edit: posting the Boston pick now
Boston over NY Yankees -120(1.83) 1.5 units
Boston -1.5 +135(2.35) 0.5 units
Houston over St Louis +125(2.25) 1 unit
Monday, June 6, 2011
Sunday, June 5, 2011
NBA finals game 3
I have two bets on the game. As I said earlier I will take the under. I will also place a bigger bet on Miami ML. Miami is a great bounce back team. I think they will come out hungry and over power Dallas. Miami has imo shown that they are the better team. They totally dominated game 2 until the very end where they quit playing. The market and my sources agree so I am very confident in this pick.
With more info coming in I am uppgrading this play to my max wager triple play.
Miami over Dallas +117(2.17) @ Pinnacle 3 units
Miami first half ml +113(2.13) @ Pinnacle 1 unit
Under 188 +103(2.03) @ Pinnacle 1 unit
With more info coming in I am uppgrading this play to my max wager triple play.
Miami over Dallas +117(2.17) @ Pinnacle 3 units
Miami first half ml +113(2.13) @ Pinnacle 1 unit
Under 188 +103(2.03) @ Pinnacle 1 unit
Yankees
I've been writing for a few days that have been leaning against the Yankees. Today I pull the trigger and go against.
LA Angels over NY Yankees +110(2.1) @ various 1 unit
LA Angels over NY Yankees +110(2.1) @ various 1 unit
Sunday continued
We have won with two days in a row with Pittsburgh over Philadelphia and I'm going for 3 in a row. The pirates might ruin many parlays today imo. The public loving Halladay, gives us nice value here.
I like the run line!
Pittsburgh +1.5 over Phildelphia +100(2.0) @ various 1 unit
I might have more plays later..... This is more plays than I usually take. The matchups and many good situations for the home dogs makes me step out of my regular selective strategy somewhat.
I like the run line!
Pittsburgh +1.5 over Phildelphia +100(2.0) @ various 1 unit
I might have more plays later..... This is more plays than I usually take. The matchups and many good situations for the home dogs makes me step out of my regular selective strategy somewhat.
Saturday, June 4, 2011
Sunday
Nice with a good day today. I will have several plays Sunday and I am taking at least one of them early.
Oakland over Boston +122(2.22) @ Pinnacle 1 unit
I am already seeing sharps on this one so I don't think we will get better offers tomorrow. The public will be all over Boston with Lackey throwing but the line will still go down imo.
I will also very likely take the under again in the NBA finals. It will be best to wait so I'll post that number closer to tip.
Oakland over Boston +122(2.22) @ Pinnacle 1 unit
I am already seeing sharps on this one so I don't think we will get better offers tomorrow. The public will be all over Boston with Lackey throwing but the line will still go down imo.
I will also very likely take the under again in the NBA finals. It will be best to wait so I'll post that number closer to tip.
more baseball
Baltimore over Toronto +110(2.1) @ Pinnacle 1 unit
I'm also considering going against the Yankees in the late game but im not sure yet.
I'm also considering going against the Yankees in the late game but im not sure yet.
Saturday
I will likely have several baseball plays today. One needs to be taken early since the odds are going down even though the public is all over the other side.
Pittsburgh over Philadelphia -105+(1.95) 1 unit
better odds available so shop around
Pittsburgh over Philadelphia -105+(1.95) 1 unit
better odds available so shop around
Friday, June 3, 2011
1 more play friday
Oakland +1.5 over Boston -118(1.85) @ Pinnacle 1.5 units
I like this play, my sources does as well and the market agrees.
The biggest sucker bet in a while is the Yankees. The line has gone down a lot and the books will make a big profit on that game imo. I like the spot and the market conditions for the Angels but not the fav price.
I like this play, my sources does as well and the market agrees.
The biggest sucker bet in a while is the Yankees. The line has gone down a lot and the books will make a big profit on that game imo. I like the spot and the market conditions for the Angels but not the fav price.
Friday includes both golf and baseball
Golf is the sport where I started my betting career many years ago. Imo the oddsmakers are not that good in this sports. I feel like I have always had an edge especially since they have to put out so many odds so fast. Unfortunately the limits are not great so I can't post the picks on the blog very often. The odds change too fast. Anyway, today there is a great opportunity to take advantage and get a big payout. Most books will have this one.
Mickelson 3 ball over Donald and Schwartzel +160+(2.6) 1 unit
There are better odds outthere so shop around.
Mickelson 3 ball over Donald and Schwartzel +160+(2.6) 1 unit
There are better odds outthere so shop around.
Donald is very hot and ranked no 1 in the world but these odds are way off. Mickelson should not be a big dog to anybody, anywhere. Mickelson has a good record on this course and often follow up bad rounds with a good one.
Mickelson won a tournament not to long ago and a 9th after that. He has decent form and I expect him to go low tomorrow. I always like Mickelson as a dog and really like the situation and odds here.
Baseball looks VERY interesting with some big teams getting huge public action. So far I have 1 play sincethe line has already moved a little bit. This is an automatic play for me just watching how the market is reacting.
Pittsburgh over Philadelphia +141(2.41) @ Pinnacle 1 unit
I will likely add at least one more later but we will see.
Thursday, June 2, 2011
NBA finals+baseball
I will likely continue to take the under between the Heat and the Mavericks in this series unless something really changes. The last game both teams defended well causing trouble for the other team. I liked when Dallas went to the zone D and I think we will see some more of that tonight. I think it will cause Miami some problems just liek last time. I see many squares and touts still loving the over so that makes me likethe under even more. The game starts in 40 min but I will wait and hope for better odds closer to tip off.
Miami-Dalls under 187.5 +102(2.02) @ Pinnacle 1 unit
Again, if the game starts fast I will take another unit on the under live. The play is strong that I dont mind having 2 units on it.
Baseball
Washington over Arizona +110(2.1) @ various 1 unit
This one is going down on Pinnacle so shop around. I found +115(2.15) at a smaller book. My sources and the market say the same thing here!
Miami-Dalls under 187.5 +102(2.02) @ Pinnacle 1 unit
Again, if the game starts fast I will take another unit on the under live. The play is strong that I dont mind having 2 units on it.
Baseball
Washington over Arizona +110(2.1) @ various 1 unit
This one is going down on Pinnacle so shop around. I found +115(2.15) at a smaller book. My sources and the market say the same thing here!
Tuesday, May 31, 2011
NBA finals
I like big games like these since the public is playing a much bigger role. I have some thoguhts about this first game. Watching how the market is betting I'm pretty sure the under is the right side, win or lose. The over looks easy and it's a very popular opinion among the squares to pound the over.
I think this will be a very physical game with lots of adrenaline and nerves. I like the under and I think if the first half starts faster take another unit on the under live is a great idea.
Under 188 +106( 2.06) 1 unit
I also take a prop outside the book. Nowitski under 25.5 1.95 @ Pinnacle 0.5 unit
There is lots of pressure on Dirk and Miami will defend him very hard. I think he will struggle. Shop around for this one. Smaller fish books have under 26.5 +100.
I think this will be a very physical game with lots of adrenaline and nerves. I like the under and I think if the first half starts faster take another unit on the under live is a great idea.
Under 188 +106( 2.06) 1 unit
I also take a prop outside the book. Nowitski under 25.5 1.95 @ Pinnacle 0.5 unit
There is lots of pressure on Dirk and Miami will defend him very hard. I think he will struggle. Shop around for this one. Smaller fish books have under 26.5 +100.
More baseball, big play:)
Oakland over New York Yankees -125(1.81) @ Pinnacle 2 units
I edit this post I made from the phone earlier. I don't like taking favs in baseball but this is a must bet. The books are begging for Yankee money with these odds but the odds are not changing. Pinnacle is high on the public road dog but that +116 they have is not changing. This is a great sign as public road dogs usually lose.
I edit this post I made from the phone earlier. I don't like taking favs in baseball but this is a must bet. The books are begging for Yankee money with these odds but the odds are not changing. Pinnacle is high on the public road dog but that +116 they have is not changing. This is a great sign as public road dogs usually lose.
Monday, May 30, 2011
Tennis is the blogs first bet
I realize that there are no followers yet but this is the start. I got this from a very good sourse.
Falla over Chela is RG +241 (3.41) @ Pinnacle goes in the book for one unit.
lets get this:)
Falla over Chela is RG +241 (3.41) @ Pinnacle goes in the book for one unit.
lets get this:)
Sunday, May 29, 2011
Start of my blog:)
So I started this blog today to get started well in time for fotball which is my main sport. To read more about me please read "Who am I" over to the right.
I wager on many different sports but since the limits are not that good sometimes, I will mostly post US sports here. I will post plays as soon as I can since odds often change when there is some "steam".
I will also post bets all times of the day. Morning might be night for the followers and to make profits you need to make some sacrifices.
The past month has been very interesting with the NBA and NHL playoffs. I've been making profits mainly on live betting those games at Pinnacle. Most books offer horrible juice on live betting, but I'm very happy with the -107(1.926) Pinnacle use. Clearly the world's best book!!!!! For the euros using some of the smaller books. Compare the live odds with other books and you can make some nice profits. Many books are surprisingly bad;)........
It's sad that the sportsbetting world is as it is now with books being closed by the US government. I suggest all US based bettors to be very careful before you deposit at any books. The Greek and 5 dimes are probably the best options but you never know what can happen right now.
Imo it would be a win-win situation to legalize it all and tax it. Everybody would be happy.
I will keep stats of my plays here on the blog. Like it says up on top the goal is 110% roi. In the past I have profited most years and sometimes been over 110% for the year. I will keep stats of the odds I post( which is available when I send it out) and I will also post the roi betting the "closing line" which everyone should be able to get. I will recomend what odds have value and what not to go below.
I wager on many different sports but since the limits are not that good sometimes, I will mostly post US sports here. I will post plays as soon as I can since odds often change when there is some "steam".
I will also post bets all times of the day. Morning might be night for the followers and to make profits you need to make some sacrifices.
The past month has been very interesting with the NBA and NHL playoffs. I've been making profits mainly on live betting those games at Pinnacle. Most books offer horrible juice on live betting, but I'm very happy with the -107(1.926) Pinnacle use. Clearly the world's best book!!!!! For the euros using some of the smaller books. Compare the live odds with other books and you can make some nice profits. Many books are surprisingly bad;)........
It's sad that the sportsbetting world is as it is now with books being closed by the US government. I suggest all US based bettors to be very careful before you deposit at any books. The Greek and 5 dimes are probably the best options but you never know what can happen right now.
Imo it would be a win-win situation to legalize it all and tax it. Everybody would be happy.
I will keep stats of my plays here on the blog. Like it says up on top the goal is 110% roi. In the past I have profited most years and sometimes been over 110% for the year. I will keep stats of the odds I post( which is available when I send it out) and I will also post the roi betting the "closing line" which everyone should be able to get. I will recomend what odds have value and what not to go below.
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